My best bet: Nuggets moneyline ( +155 at BetMGM) A team that already thrives in transition should excel against a team that may play only seven players, and two of them will be Deandre Ayton and Biyombo - not exactly defenders who will get back down the court with expediency.ĭurant and Booker are two of the best scorers in the game, but they cannot play all five positions, and the Nuggets will make the Suns pay for that tonight. ![]() They simply need to outpace the Paul-less Suns by one point throughout an entire game. On 19 fourth-quarter possessions, Phoenix scored just 14 points, while Denver poured in 27 points on 18 possessions.įocusing on that disparity runs the risk of putting too much value into a small sample size, but the Nuggets do not need to dominate that aggressively again. Only three available players are consistently scoring for the Suns. Phoenix does not have enough quality depth to replace Paul’s playmaking and bucket-getting. Okogie’s role is certainly not offensive, but he is still scoring just 4.9 points in 20.1 minutes per playoff game. Of the core five, Torrey Craig and Josh Okogie are both playing more than 20 minutes per game while scoring fewer than 10 points per game. They should have a six or seven-man rotation tonight, with the sixth being Bismack Biyombo (10.1 minutes per game in seven games these playoffs) and the seventh either Damion Lee (12.2 in six games) or Landry Shamet (11.5 in six games). The Suns are not deep, especially without Paul. The six above him have all averaged double-digits through seven games in these playoffs. On an eight-man rotation, Green is Denver’s seventh offensive option. Fourteen-year veterans can play 18 minutes per game in the playoffs when they are able to focus like that. Every time the world is collectively shocked that Jeff Green is still contributing to a playoff rotation at the age of 36, we overlook the fact that he is usually called upon for fewer than 20 minutes per game and he knows his role: Rebound, defend, move the ball. But can Durant or Booker do all that while defending on-ball as Paul would? Now this gets a bit tricky. Will he play 40-plus minutes? Phoenix is going to need monumental efforts from both him and Devin Booker. Mikal Bridges, Cam Johnson and even Jae Crowder would have helped provide depth that Durant alone cannot replace in these circumstances. The flip side of that is that the Suns simply lack quality players now with Paul sidelined tonight. Part of the logic to trading for Kevin Durant was to provide further star power should a postseason injury once again slow Paul, and sure enough, that became reality Monday when a tweaked groin sent Paul to the locker room. Nuggets vs Suns Game 3 picks and predictions Here are our free NBA picks and predictions for Nuggets vs Suns on May 5. The Suns’ main problem, though, is that the immediate future could quickly become the next five months if they do not take care of business at home against the Denver Nuggets. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.The Phoenix Suns are backed into a corner, and are now without their floor general for the immediate future. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Phoenix Suns lineup: Devin Booker, Josh Okogie, Cameron Payne, DeAndre Ayton, Kevin Durant.ĭenver Nuggets lineup: Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon. ![]() In the past 10 H2H meetings, Suns have won six. Nikola Jokic led the way for Suns with 53 points and Devin Booker scored 36 points for Nuggets. Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets played each other in the previous game. Choose the selection which can yield a profitable return. The 228 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Nuggets games.Ģ28 points looks too big a number on the total line and we are happy to play the 1.91 about Under for this NBA showdown.īetting Under can be done at various odds thanks to the sportsbooks allowing bettors to move the line.The 228 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Nuggets games at home.We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide. The NBA picks stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each franchise. Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns might not be able to reach this combined amount and we can profit with this selection at 1.91. Under 228 points looks like an attractive totals wager.
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